Life under Labor
Was the Australian economy really a medieval backwater before the Howard Government came to power? Zack McLennan looks at Labors record in this area. Photo: Bentley Smith
For the 16-30 year-olds who constitute
electiontracker's target demographic life before the Howard Government
must seem like an awfully long time ago.
Having scarcely any recollection of that election means I have absolutely no memory of what a Federal Labor Government was like. It doesn't help that I was born four years after they came to power or that I was not even living in Australia for most of the early 90s.
With most of my age group having next to no personal recollection of The Hawke and Keating years it is left to politicians and the media to fill in the blanks. Both are hardly reliable sources as the former tend to speak out of self interest and the latter would like Australia to believe the recreational exploits of Ben Cousins are the most important issue in the world at the moment.
The prevailing view of the Labor years is at best over-simplified and at worst completely fallacious. The area that attracts the most discussion when talking about the previous Labor government is economics.
The current view of the economy under Labor is one of hardship and mismanagement – the early 1990-1991 recessions being the hallmark of this – and of a government that was light on reforms compared to current administration.
However a great deal of literature has come out this year to challenge this popular view. In his book Ozonomics economist Andrew Charlton lists the number of economic reforms of the Hawke and Keating Governments compared to Howard's. He lists 23 major reforms under the two Labor governments and only 13 under the Coalition.
From this we can gather the previous
Labor governments were certainly no slouches when it came to economic
reform.
Arguably the three most important reforms of the Labor years were the
floating of the Australian Dollar, the cutting of tariffs and the introduction
of enterprise bargaining. Former Prime Minister Paul Keating says these
reforms are the reason the Australian economy is not overheating.
He argues the current income surge is being buffeted by the rise in
value of the Australian Dollar, and the low tariff walls and the enterprise
bargaining system are moderating inflation.
His summation is the "exchange rate taking the shocks, there's
tariffs letting the deflation in and there's enterprise bargaining giving
within sector flexibility keeping inflation low".
Of course Keating would obviously want to say good things about Labor's
record, but the evidence is hard to refute. Whatever one thinks of the
Coalition's economic management kudos must be given to the Hawke and
Keating governments for contributing to Australia's current prosperity.
The "recession we had to have" as Keating infamously put it
is the main blotch on Labor's time in power. By some measures it was
the most severe economic downturn in Australia since the Great Depression.
One could take two historical views of this event. One is the belief
that events are primarily shaped by leaders. Winston Churchill was a
proponent of this view for instance. The other view is that the complex
machinations of the general public are the real drivers of change.
Subscribing to the first view means the Labor Government was entirely
responsible for the rescission. Adherence to the second means one accepts
there were deeper forces at work.
The truth as always seems to lie somewhere in between. Former Reserve
Bank governor Ian Macfarlane noted recently that of the 18 developed
OECD countries 17 experienced a recession in that time. So unless there
was a convergence of coincidences on a monumental scale the early 1990s
recession had a global aspect to it.
Macfarlane contends that because the Australian economy was overheating
in the late 1980s interest rates had to be raised to put the breaks
on. This in turn stopped investment and caused employment to fall.
While Hawke and Keating were two of the main people involved in setting
up interest rates, Macfarlane argues that if this were not done then
the country would have most likely suffered an even more severe bust.
The recession was also notable due the slow recovery. Most recessions
are followed with a big boom, but the early 1990s event lingered around
for a long time. Macfarlane says this was mainly due to the desire by
the government and the reserve bank to finally curb inflation.
Since that recession inflation in Australia has more or less stayed
in the 2-3 per cent barrier desired by the Reserve Bank.
While the Labor Government could have handled things better during the
inflation it appears that many aspects of it were beyond their control
and the severity of the incident had the positive effect of locking
in moderate inflation for Australia in subsequent years.
With all of this evidence it is very hard to categorise the Hawke and
Keating governments as poor economic managers. Those governments were
not without their faults to be sure, but casting them in a completely
negative light is neither fair nor reasonable.
The Howard Government's own record in this area has been very good,
but we should never forget that these issues are always more complex
than they might seem.
Zackary McLennan is studying journalism
at The University of South Australia. He is an active member of the
Liberal Party and has been sharing his campaign experiences with electiontracker.
Edited by Patrick May
Photo: Bentley Smith